XRP Max·closes in 3mo

Will XRP trimmed mean be above $6.50 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Above $6.50

24h volume
0
813 lifetime
Open interest
783
+378 over 7d
Spread
0.77 × 0.49 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 16¢
28 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
/ 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 91¢
24h low 24h high 16¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9448¢
  • ask2,00033¢
  • ask17030¢
  • ask10017¢
  • ask0.4916¢
spreadmid 13¢
  • bid0.77
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 6.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:46 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
6.5
ticker
KXXRPMAXY-XRP-26DEC31-650
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 28 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago10¢3.64bought no
2d ago10¢0.36bought no
2d ago10¢85bought yes
2d ago10¢85bought yes
2d ago16¢50bought yes
2d ago16¢43bought yes
2d ago15¢1.2bought yes
2d ago12¢0.82bought no
2d ago15bought yes
2d ago11¢50bought yes
2d ago11¢50bought yes
4d ago1.35bought no
4d ago0.65bought no
4d ago3bought no
5d ago0.4bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.