XRP Min monthly·closes in 26d

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.20 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?

YES means Below $1.20

24h volume
161
202 lifetime
Open interest
199
+199 over 30d
Spread
5¢
200 × 1.85 at the touch
24h range
59¢ – 66¢
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%−8

A YES contract costs 60¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 60¢
NO bid / ask
40¢ / 45¢
24h low 59¢24h high 66¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢volNov 2, 6:00 PMNov 5, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,00095¢
  • ask4994¢
  • ask873¢
  • ask871¢
  • ask869¢
  • ask37063¢
  • ask3,00061¢
  • ask1.8560¢
spread5¢mid 57¢
  • bid20055¢
  • bid854¢
  • bid852¢
  • bid850¢
  • bid4746¢
  • bid3,00045¢
  • bid5,0015¢
  • bid5013¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026 is ever below $1.20, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC
cap
1.2
ticker
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26NOV30-120
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago59¢0.01bought yes
7h ago59¢141bought yes
8h ago62¢15bought yes
9h ago64¢3bought yes
15h ago66¢2bought no
1d ago67¢18bought no
1d ago68¢1.85bought no
2d ago73¢8bought no
2d ago75¢8bought no
2d ago81¢1bought no
2d ago79¢4bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.