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KXXRPMINMON·closes in 10d

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $0.80 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Below $0.80

24h volume
0
358 lifetime
Open interest
358
Spread
4¢
0 × 349 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 100¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1245¢
  • ask1638¢
  • ask435¢
  • ask2330¢
  • ask2525¢
  • ask1007¢
  • ask3,0005¢
  • ask3494¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $0.80, then the market resolves to Yes.

    At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

    opened
    Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
    closes
    Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
    cap
    0.8
    ticker
    KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26SEP30-080
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    This event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    This is the only market in its event.

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.