KXXRPMINY·closes in 3mo

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $0.25 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Below $0.25

24h volume
0
681 lifetime
Open interest
427
Spread
0 × 100 at the touch
24h range
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 100¢
Recent buying81% YES · 19% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2545¢
  • ask1638¢
  • ask2035¢
  • ask2430¢
  • ask1925¢
  • ask2,00021¢
  • ask3,000
  • ask100
spreadmid
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $0.25, then the market resolves to Yes.

    At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 22 · 4:43 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
    cap
    0.25
    ticker
    KXXRPMINY-XRP-26DEC31-025
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 11 trades, 81% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    13d ago27bought no
    14d ago100bought no
    15d ago159bought yes
    15d ago76bought yes
    15d ago71bought yes
    15d ago78bought yes
    1mo ago50bought yes
    1mo ago44bought yes
    1mo ago49bought yes
    1mo ago27bought yes
    2mo ago10¢1bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.