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XRP Annual mecnet·closes in 3mo

XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $1.0000 - $1.2499

24h volume
0
3,663 lifetime
Open interest
2,219
Spread
12¢
13 × 91 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
24%

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
76%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 80¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,77545¢
  • ask4644¢
  • ask1943¢
  • ask6042¢
  • ask136¢
  • ask3135¢
  • ask6234¢
  • ask9132¢
spread12¢mid 26¢
  • bid1320¢
  • bid11519¢
  • bid118¢
  • bid1817¢
  • bid116¢
  • bid2115¢
  • bid114¢
  • bid3111¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $1.0000-1.2499 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 5:34 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
1
cap
1.2499
ticker
KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B10000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 188¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago24¢0.03bought yes
4d ago26¢336bought yes
4d ago25¢22bought yes
4d ago26¢0.03bought yes
4d ago26¢81bought yes
4d ago25¢27bought yes
4d ago23¢30bought yes
4d ago21¢90bought yes
4d ago21¢25bought yes
4d ago22¢67bought yes
4d ago14¢0.06bought yes
4d ago16¢94bought yes
4d ago15¢18bought yes
5d ago11¢0.42bought yes
6d ago8¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.