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XRP Annual mecnet·closes in 3mo

XRP price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means $2.0000 - $2.2499

24h volume
0
640 lifetime
Open interest
639
+0 over 7d
Spread
8¢
9.61 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
22 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 95¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 16, 6:00 PMSep 19, 2:00 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9,33098¢
  • ask6,94097¢
  • ask23670¢
  • ask2,00028¢
  • ask0.8915¢
  • ask114¢
  • ask10013¢
spread8¢mid 9¢
  • bid9.615¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between $2.0000-2.2499 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 5:34 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
2
cap
2.2499
ticker
KXXRPY-27JAN0100-B20000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 188¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 22 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago5¢0.11bought no
8d ago17¢0.11bought yes
10d ago5¢0.28bought no
13d ago70¢9.8bought yes
13d ago17¢50bought yes
13d ago17¢50bought yes
18d ago16¢30bought yes
19d ago16¢28bought yes
23d ago16¢24bought yes
27d ago25¢47bought yes
27d ago13¢50bought yes
27d ago13¢50bought yes
27d ago23¢29bought yes
27d ago24¢95bought yes
27d ago23¢53bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.