Zelensky and Putin in Trump's term·closes in 28mo

Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029?

YES means Before Jan 20, 2029

24h volume
82
99.2k lifetime
Open interest
30.8k
Spread
93 × 1,070 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
35%+2

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
65%

costs 67¢

YES bid / ask
33¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 67¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask60374¢
  • ask35472¢
  • ask1,16171¢
  • ask87570¢
  • ask12768¢
  • ask4267¢
  • ask1966¢
  • ask1,07035¢
spreadmid 34¢
  • bid9333¢
  • bid1,32832¢
  • bid1,16931¢
  • bid2229¢
  • bid10525¢
  • bid2324¢
  • bid1523¢
  • bid2215¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this market, a meeting must be direct and in real time. In-person encounters where both parties are physically present in the same location will count. Virtual meetings or calls where both parties speak directly to each other will also count. However, simply being present at the same event without direct interaction will not count. Exchanging written correspondences, communicating through intermediaries, or other asynchronous communication will not count. Cancelled meetings and near-misses will not count.

opened
Oct 13, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXZELENSKYPUTIN-29-VPUT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago35¢68bought yes
10h ago35¢14bought yes
2d ago33¢1.73bought no
2d ago35¢2.73bought yes
4d ago35¢3bought yes
4d ago35¢1.34bought yes
5d ago35¢55bought yes
5d ago35¢30bought yes
6d ago35¢600bought yes
6d ago34¢485bought yes
6d ago34¢25bought yes
6d ago34¢5bought yes
7d ago34¢5.62bought yes
7d ago35¢1,500bought yes
8d ago35¢41bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.