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POWER·closes in 38mo

Will the Democratic party win the House, the Democratic party win the Senate, and the Democratic party win the Presidency?

YES means Democratic Sweep

24h volume
11
120.6k lifetime
Open interest
66.7k
+333 over 7d
Spread
1¢
6.3 × 351 at the touch
24h range
50¢ – 51¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
24h low 50¢24h high 51¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
45¢50¢55¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5061¢
  • ask1,06960¢
  • ask20057¢
  • ask1,00056¢
  • ask9555¢
  • ask30053¢
  • ask16252¢
  • ask35151¢
spread1¢mid 51¢
  • bid6.350¢
  • bid20048¢
  • bid18046¢
  • bid4141¢
  • bid50040¢
  • bid5038¢
  • bid7537¢
  • bid85036¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Democratic party wins the House, the Democratic party wins the Senate, and the Democratic party wins the Presidency in the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 3, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
POWER-28-DH-DS-DP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago50¢9.47bought no
24h ago50¢1.89bought no
1d ago50¢9.66bought no
1d ago50¢7bought no
2d ago50¢19bought no
2d ago51¢9.47bought yes
2d ago50¢19bought no
2d ago51¢1.89bought yes
2d ago51¢0.01bought yes
2d ago51¢19bought yes
2d ago51¢1.89bought yes
2d ago50¢9.66bought no
3d ago51¢9.47bought yes
4d ago50¢193bought no
4d ago51¢1.93bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.