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Special Senate election in Florida·closed · NO

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Florida?

YES means Angie Nixon

24h volume
0
7.37M lifetime
Open interest
3.36M
+2.73M over 30d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volOct 6Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Florida pursuant to the Class III (special election) held on November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 4 · 1:40 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 1 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATEFLS-26-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago0¢2,337bought yes
1d ago0¢916bought yes
1d ago0¢935bought yes
1d ago0¢18.4kbought yes
1d ago0¢9,420bought no
1d ago0¢214bought no
1d ago0¢560bought no
1d ago0¢189bought no
1d ago0¢84bought no
1d ago0¢458bought yes
1d ago0¢1,081bought no
1d ago0¢1,990bought no
1d ago0¢4,631bought no
1d ago0¢38bought no
1d ago0¢484bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.