Will Republicans win the Senate race in Florida?
YES means Ashley Moody
Angie Nixon trades at 12¢. Compare the 2028 regular Florida Senate market, where Republicans are only 80–85¢: the market thinks the state is red, not unlosable.
- 24h volume
- 0
- 4.23M lifetime
- Open interest
- 2.28M
- +1.97M over 30d
- Spread
- 100¢
- 0 × 0 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Florida pursuant to the Class III (special election) held on November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
- opened
- Dec 4, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 4 · 1:40 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 1 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- SENATEFLS-26-R
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 3 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 9.87 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 250 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 500 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 273 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 14.6k | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 15.0k | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 5,436 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 1,423 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 436 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 63 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 11 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 100¢ | 5.69 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.