Georgia Senate race·closes in 38mo

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Georgia?

YES means Republican party

24h volume
5.52
701 lifetime
Open interest
184
Spread
500 × 500 at the touch
24h range
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%+3

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 69¢
Recent buying54% YES · 46% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20071¢
  • ask1,05670¢
  • ask11469¢
  • ask4468¢
  • ask7865¢
  • ask158¢
  • ask33252¢
  • ask50034¢
spreadmid 32¢
  • bid50031¢
  • bid1420¢
  • bid11518¢
  • bid88817¢
  • bid36715¢
  • bid20012¢
  • bid4,00811¢
  • bid3,182
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Georgia for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATEGA-28-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 54% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago34¢5.52bought yes
3d ago31¢3bought no
2mo ago34¢10bought yes
2mo ago29¢5bought no
2mo ago29¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.