Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa?
YES means Republican party
- 24h volume
- 0
- 516 lifetime
- Open interest
- 289
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 2¢
- 500 × 139 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 9 recent trades
A YES contract costs 64¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 38¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask3,31494¢
- ask4,00889¢
- ask11187¢
- ask36785¢
- ask15184¢
- ask180¢
- ask50065¢
- ask13964¢
- bid50062¢
- bid142¢
- bid6435¢
- bid14231¢
- bid90030¢
- bid20029¢
- bid1,17528¢
- bid1,69923¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Iowa for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- SENATEIA-28-R
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 129¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 9 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 64¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 64¢ | 7.62 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 62¢ | 61 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 65¢ | 75 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 60¢ | 0.15 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 65¢ | 0.15 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 65¢ | 15 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 61¢ | 2.61 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 68¢ | 2.61 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.