North Dakota Senate race·closes in 38mo

Will Republicans win the Senate race in North Dakota?

YES means Republican party

24h volume
0
645 lifetime
Open interest
330
Spread
506 × 500 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
87%

A YES contract costs 87¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
13%

costs 16¢

YES bid / ask
84¢ / 87¢
NO bid / ask
13¢ / 16¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10.0k100¢
  • ask176.4k99¢
  • ask3,66499¢
  • ask5,83296¢
  • ask20096¢
  • ask5496¢
  • ask292¢
  • ask50087¢
spreadmid 86¢
  • bid50684¢
  • bid157¢
  • bid5149¢
  • bid4746¢
  • bid75843¢
  • bid27542¢
  • bid53236¢
  • bid20032¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of North Dakota for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATEND-28-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago87¢4bought yes
1mo ago82¢2bought no
2mo ago85¢38bought yes
2mo ago86¢77bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.