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New Hampshire Senate race·closes in 14mo

Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Hampshire?

YES means John E. Sununu

24h volume
11.2k
579.8k lifetime
Open interest
411.1k
+337.3k over 30d
Spread
1¢
60.6k × 22.4k at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 20¢
Chance of YES
17%−1

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 83¢
24h low 9¢24h high 20¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask19225¢
  • ask71024¢
  • ask100.1k23¢
  • ask22.9k22¢
  • ask30.0k21¢
  • ask15.3k20¢
  • ask32.4k19¢
  • ask22.4k18¢
spread1¢mid 18¢
  • bid60.6k17¢
  • bid2,78216¢
  • bid41615¢
  • bid4,10014¢
  • bid5,00013¢
  • bid10.6k12¢
  • bid21011¢
  • bid2,22010¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of New Hampshire for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 3, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATENH-26-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.