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Ohio Senate race·closes in 38mo

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Ohio?

YES means Democratic party

24h volume
0
21.2k lifetime
Open interest
13.5k
+0 over 24h
Spread
3¢
500 × 503 at the touch
24h range
–
45 recent trades
Chance of YES
48%

A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
52%

costs 58¢

YES bid / ask
42¢ / 45¢
NO bid / ask
55¢ / 58¢
Recent buying13% YES · 87% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 20, 3:31 AMSep 20, 10:50 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5072¢
  • ask7668¢
  • ask2067¢
  • ask161¢
  • ask1360¢
  • ask959¢
  • ask14950¢
  • ask50345¢
spread3¢mid 43¢
  • bid50042¢
  • bid5024¢
  • bid123¢
  • bid4820¢
  • bid72719¢
  • bid16718¢
  • bid55014¢
  • bid1,55813¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Ohio for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATEOH-28-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 104¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 45 trades, 13% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago48¢0.5bought yes
3d ago45¢3bought no
7d ago45¢25bought no
13d ago47¢41bought yes
14d ago45¢6.07bought no
21d ago45¢38bought no
27d ago42¢21bought no
27d ago45¢21bought yes
28d ago44¢500bought no
29d ago47¢4.1bought yes
29d ago45¢24bought no
1mo ago45¢500bought no
1mo ago45¢0.01bought no
1mo ago47¢98bought yes
1mo ago45¢4.75bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.