galdor.xyz
Admin
Ohio Senate race·closes in 38mo

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Ohio?

YES means Republican party

24h volume
0
8,277 lifetime
Open interest
1,900
+5.6 over 30d
Spread
2¢
2 × 500 at the touch
24h range
52¢ – 56¢
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 44¢

YES bid / ask
56¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 44¢
24h low 52¢24h high 56¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢volAug 23Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,55887¢
  • ask38086¢
  • ask16782¢
  • ask1081¢
  • ask63080¢
  • ask11779¢
  • ask177¢
  • ask50058¢
spread2¢mid 57¢
  • bid256¢
  • bid50055¢
  • bid139¢
  • bid1333¢
  • bid7632¢
  • bid1,78928¢
  • bid38027¢
  • bid71926¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Ohio for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATEOH-28-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 104¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago56¢500bought yes
1d ago56¢3bought yes
3d ago55¢2bought yes
4d ago52¢1bought no
4d ago52¢3bought no
4d ago52¢2bought no
4d ago52¢2bought no
9d ago55¢9bought yes
20d ago53¢3.4bought no
1mo ago57¢3.4bought yes
1mo ago54¢26bought yes
1mo ago61¢5bought no
1mo ago61¢500bought no
1mo ago64¢15bought yes
1mo ago64¢15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.