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Oklahoma Senate race·closes in 38mo

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Oklahoma?

YES means Democratic party

24h volume
0
1,608 lifetime
Open interest
392
+0 over 24h
Spread
12¢
33.6k × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 99¢
Recent buying20% YES · 80% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 20, 4:17 AMSep 20, 4:41 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask53264¢
  • ask27558¢
  • ask32057¢
  • ask22456¢
  • ask5151¢
  • ask1450¢
  • ask143¢
  • ask10013¢
spread12¢mid 7¢
  • bid33.6k1¢
  • bid1130¢
  • bid10.0k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Oklahoma for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATEOK-28-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 95¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 20% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13d ago1¢30bought no
13d ago2¢5bought no
13d ago11¢200bought no
13d ago1¢87bought no
13d ago1¢128bought no
13d ago15¢250bought no
13d ago15¢200bought yes
1mo ago9¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.