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South Carolina Senate race·closes in 14mo

Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?

YES means Annie Andrews

24h volume
2,351
836.0k lifetime
Open interest
595.0k
+54.6k over 7d
Spread
1¢
22.4k × 18.7k at the touch
24h range
13¢ – 14¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%+1

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 87¢
24h low 13¢24h high 14¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,10921¢
  • ask1,29020¢
  • ask2,01019¢
  • ask25.0k18¢
  • ask10.0k17¢
  • ask77.1k16¢
  • ask2,85515¢
  • ask18.7k14¢
spread1¢mid 14¢
  • bid22.4k13¢
  • bid5,89212¢
  • bid5,20711¢
  • bid55.4k10¢
  • bid1010¢
  • bid1,01010¢
  • bid1010¢
  • bid4,67010¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 3, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATESC-26-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago14¢20bought yes
3h ago14¢67bought yes
3h ago14¢34bought yes
3h ago14¢54bought yes
3h ago14¢674bought yes
4h ago14¢20bought yes
4h ago14¢8.42bought yes
4h ago14¢13bought yes
6h ago14¢101bought yes
8h ago14¢67bought yes
9h ago13¢27bought no
10h ago14¢236bought yes
11h ago14¢168bought yes
11h ago14¢135bought yes
11h ago13¢67bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.