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South Carolina Senate race·closes in 14mo

Will Republicans win the Senate race in South Carolina?

YES means Darline Graham

24h volume
45
534.5k lifetime
Open interest
305.6k
+262.8k over 90d
Spread
1¢
8,992 × 14.0k at the touch
24h range
86¢ – 87¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
87%

A YES contract costs 87¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
13%

costs 14¢

YES bid / ask
86¢ / 87¢
NO bid / ask
13¢ / 14¢
24h low 86¢24h high 87¢
Recent buying27% YES · 73% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4893¢
  • ask25392¢
  • ask25592¢
  • ask1,00791¢
  • ask72.9k90¢
  • ask1.1589¢
  • ask28.3k88¢
  • ask14.0k87¢
spread1¢mid 87¢
  • bid8,99286¢
  • bid37.0k85¢
  • bid50.0k84¢
  • bid10.0k83¢
  • bid182¢
  • bid1,55081¢
  • bid5,26580¢
  • bid7,51579¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 3, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATESC-26-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 27% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago87¢11bought yes
7h ago87¢5.69bought yes
7h ago87¢5.69bought yes
13h ago87¢2.27bought yes
14h ago86¢20bought no
1d ago87¢228bought yes
1d ago87¢25bought yes
1d ago86¢2.27bought no
1d ago87¢41bought yes
1d ago87¢5.69bought yes
1d ago87¢5.49bought yes
2d ago87¢1.13bought yes
2d ago86¢0.99bought no
2d ago86¢1.13bought no
2d ago87¢1.13bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.