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South Dakota Senate race·closes in 14mo

Will Brian Bengss win the Senate race in South Dakota?

YES means Brian Bengs

24h volume
12
56.7k lifetime
Open interest
56.3k
+1,950 over 7d
Spread
1¢
1 × 14.1k at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 7¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%−2

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 93¢
24h low 6¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00050¢
  • ask2,12749¢
  • ask10433¢
  • ask35029¢
  • ask2728¢
  • ask1,25124¢
  • ask1,00023¢
  • ask14.1k8¢
spread1¢mid 7¢
  • bid17¢
  • bid806¢
  • bid11.1k5¢
  • bid1,1504¢
  • bid13.9k3¢
  • bid1,0502¢
  • bid2,0931¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Brian Bengs is sworn in as a Senator of South Dakota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATESD-26-BBEN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago6¢0.01bought no
6h ago7¢2bought no
6h ago6¢9.74bought no
1d ago8¢705bought yes
2d ago8¢12bought yes
2d ago8¢12bought yes
3d ago8¢352bought yes
3d ago8¢411bought yes
4d ago8¢12bought yes
4d ago8¢235bought yes
4d ago7¢5.23bought yes
4d ago7¢35bought yes
5d ago6¢25bought no
5d ago8¢95bought yes
5d ago7¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.