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Senate race Utah·closes in 38mo

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Utah?

YES means Republican party

24h volume
0
2,265 lifetime
Open interest
1,050
+0 over 24h
Spread
3¢
500 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
19 recent trades
Chance of YES
84%

A YES contract costs 84¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
16%

costs 19¢

YES bid / ask
81¢ / 84¢
NO bid / ask
16¢ / 19¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢volSep 20, 4:17 AMSep 20, 11:10 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Utah for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATEUT-28-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 19 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago83¢0.14bought yes
3d ago84¢1.86bought yes
10d ago81¢5.26bought no
10d ago82¢0.62bought no
1mo ago93¢8.55bought yes
1mo ago84¢2.34bought yes
1mo ago84¢12bought yes
2mo ago80¢2bought no
2mo ago78¢46bought no
2mo ago80¢5bought no
2mo ago80¢5bought no
2mo ago80¢1.26bought no
2mo ago85¢2bought yes
2mo ago86¢6.36bought yes
2mo ago84¢1.23bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.