Senate WA·closes in 38mo

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Washington?

YES means Democratic party

24h volume
0
1,499 lifetime
Open interest
712
+0 over 24h
Spread
500 × 19 at the touch
24h range
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
95%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
5%

costs

YES bid / ask
93¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
/
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 20, 11:08 PMSep 20, 11:10 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask1,809100¢
  • ask20.0k99¢
  • ask19999¢
  • ask50096¢
  • ask1995¢
spreadmid 94¢
  • bid50093¢
  • bid292¢
  • bid163¢
  • bid2655¢
  • bid4854¢
  • bid70651¢
  • bid16948¢
  • bid31742¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Washington for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
SENATEWA-28-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 99¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago95¢1bought yes
9d ago96¢20bought yes
2mo ago95¢1.04bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.