Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Republican Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.
opens
Nov 6, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
3m ago
9¢
91¢
95
no
4m ago
9¢
91¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market40
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-02-01T15:00:00Z
created_time2024-11-06T07:18:26.141672Z
custom_strike1
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask442.6k11¢
ask7,79610¢
ask28.8k10¢
ask30010¢
ask7,37910¢
ask1049¢
ask20.0k9¢
ask70.1k9¢
spread0¢mid 9¢
bid1,1019¢
bid1009¢
bid6,3089¢
bid458¢
bid2468¢
bid25.5k8¢
bid2,0068¢
bid1008¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
134
yes
17m ago
9¢
91¢
1,022
yes
18m ago
9¢
91¢
5
yes
23m ago
9¢
91¢
25
no
24m ago
9¢
91¢
102
yes
26m ago
9¢
91¢
100
yes
26m ago
9¢
91¢
105
yes
28m ago
9¢
91¢
0.09
yes
28m ago
9¢
91¢
2,262
yes
28m ago
9¢
91¢
2,243
yes
30m ago
9¢
91¢
21
yes
30m ago
9¢
91¢
27
no
32m ago
9¢
91¢
103
yes
32m ago
9¢
91¢
11
no
32m ago
9¢
91¢
43
no
33m ago
9¢
91¢
664
no
41m ago
9¢
91¢
4.23
yes
42m ago
9¢
91¢
135
yes
42m ago
9¢
91¢
52
yes
43m ago
9¢
91¢
10
yes
44m ago
9¢
91¢
504
yes
45m ago
9¢
91¢
120
no
45m ago
9¢
91¢
5.9
no
46m ago
9¢
91¢
103
yes
politician
9244ed4c-9dfd-45cc-8211-996dc902f315
event_tickerCONTROLH-2026
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-02-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-02-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0890
latest_expiration_time2027-02-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9110
no_bid_dollars0.9080
no_sub_titleRepublican Party
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp13766927.54
open_time2024-11-06T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.1100
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.1100
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1000
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the Republican Party has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2027.