Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Republican Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027.
opens
Nov 6, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
4m ago
40¢
60¢
202
no
4m ago
41¢
59¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market40
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2027-02-01T15:00:00Z
created_time2024-11-06T07:16:46.657924Z
custom_strike1
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Order book unavailable.
117
yes
11m ago
41¢
59¢
26
yes
11m ago
41¢
59¢
4.68
yes
21m ago
41¢
59¢
94
yes
30m ago
41¢
59¢
21
yes
31m ago
41¢
59¢
562
yes
32m ago
40¢
60¢
136
no
33m ago
41¢
59¢
16
yes
34m ago
41¢
59¢
23
yes
39m ago
41¢
59¢
117
yes
39m ago
40¢
60¢
1.86
no
43m ago
41¢
59¢
80
yes
43m ago
41¢
59¢
63
yes
43m ago
41¢
59¢
263
yes
43m ago
41¢
59¢
501
yes
43m ago
41¢
59¢
100
yes
45m ago
40¢
60¢
55
no
52m ago
41¢
59¢
4.68
yes
54m ago
40¢
60¢
1
no
55m ago
41¢
59¢
12
yes
57m ago
41¢
59¢
234
yes
1h ago
41¢
59¢
12
yes
1h ago
41¢
59¢
18
yes
1h ago
41¢
59¢
216
yes
politician
9244ed4c-9dfd-45cc-8211-996dc902f315
event_tickerCONTROLS-2026
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2027-02-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-02-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.4000
latest_expiration_time2027-02-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.6000
no_bid_dollars0.5900
no_sub_titleRepublican Party
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp2926413.69
open_time2024-11-06T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.4200
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.4200
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.4100
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the Republican Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2027.
settlement_timer_seconds3600
statusactive
strike_typestructured
tickerCONTROLS-2026-R
titleWill Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?