Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
opens
Mar 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
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market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-10-01T03:59:00Z
created_time2026-03-03T14:22:53.773623Z
custom_strike1
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask33397¢
ask37596¢
ask2,03295¢
ask58994¢
ask5193¢
ask3.0190¢
ask20082¢
ask2,57778¢
spread1¢mid 78¢
bid177¢
bid20074¢
bid2568¢
bid30067¢
bid1,00060¢
bid19759¢
bid57126¢
bid1,81525¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Company
any company
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a qualifying announcement occurs.
event_tickerKXAGICO-COMP
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-10-08T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.7700
latest_expiration_time2028-10-08T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.2300
no_bid_dollars0.2200
no_sub_titleBefore Oct 1, 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp3133.61
open_time2026-03-03T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.7900
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.7800
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.7700
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryTo qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXAGICO-COMP-28Q3
titleWill any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028?