Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Mizuho serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.
opens
Jun 3 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
7d ago
83¢
17¢
5
yes
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2026-06-03T16:36:27.039892Z
custom_strike1
bid
0.02
82¢
bid20081¢
bid110¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
7d ago
84¢
16¢
200
yes
9d ago
81¢
19¢
1
yes
9d ago
89¢
11¢
25
yes
10d ago
73¢
27¢
25
no
10d ago
73¢
27¢
70
no
10d ago
81¢
19¢
200
no
10d ago
81¢
19¢
4
no
13d ago
89¢
11¢
6
no
13d ago
88¢
12¢
10
no
16d ago
76¢
24¢
1
no
16d ago
89¢
11¢
200
yes
17d ago
69¢
31¢
500
yes
17d ago
67¢
33¢
200
yes
17d ago
64¢
36¢
307
yes
29d ago
64¢
36¢
1.52
yes
1mo ago
56¢
44¢
0.01
no
1mo ago
63¢
37¢
0.01
yes
1mo ago
56¢
44¢
0.01
no
1mo ago
63¢
37¢
0.01
yes
1mo ago
57¢
43¢
200
no
2mo ago
60¢
40¢
100
yes
2mo ago
55¢
45¢
7
no
2mo ago
62¢
38¢
2
yes
2mo ago
62¢
38¢
5
yes
Bank
Mizuho
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the IPO underwriting is announced.
event_tickerKXANTHROPICBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.8400
latest_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.1800
no_bid_dollars0.1200
no_sub_titleMizuho
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp1009.52
open_time2026-06-03T21:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.8400
previous_yes_ask_dollars1.0000
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.8300
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Mizuho serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXANTHROPICBANKPUBLIC-28JAN01-MZHOX
titleWill Mizuho take Anthropic public before Jan 1, 2028?