Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Joe Biden using Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate is reported on by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
It must be originally reported by one of the Source Agencies; e.g. a publication reporting on a person saying so is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
ask
28
95¢
ask24024¢
spread6¢mid 21¢
bid5018¢
bid20015¢
bid253¢
bid212¢
bid21¢
bid751¢
bid11.0k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
category
Politics
event
independent outcomes
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
20d ago
24¢
76¢
25
yes
20d ago
24¢
76¢
161
yes
1mo ago
17¢
83¢
2.38
no
2mo ago
22¢
78¢
0.12
yes
2mo ago
19¢
81¢
0.12
no
2mo ago
21¢
79¢
15
yes
2mo ago
23¢
77¢
22
yes
2mo ago
21¢
79¢
85
yes
2mo ago
21¢
79¢
15
yes
2mo ago
87¢
13¢
33
yes
2mo ago
12¢
88¢
3
yes
2mo ago
85¢
15¢
15
yes
2mo ago
14¢
86¢
267
yes
2mo ago
11¢
89¢
7.25
yes
2mo ago
14¢
86¢
133
yes
2mo ago
83¢
17¢
37
yes
2mo ago
13¢
87¢
18
yes
2mo ago
12¢
88¢
4
yes
2mo ago
88¢
12¢
122
yes
2mo ago
82¢
18¢
56
yes
2mo ago
12¢
88¢
65
yes
2mo ago
9¢
91¢
7.25
no
event_ticker
KXBIDENAMBIEN-28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.2400
latest_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8200
no_bid_dollars0.7600
no_sub_titleBefore 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp3498.11
open_time2025-07-23T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.2400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2400
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1800
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf Joe Biden using Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate is reported on by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryIt must be originally reported by one of the Source Agencies; e.g. a publication reporting on a person saying so is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXBIDENAMBIEN-28
titleWill it be reported that Joe Biden Using Ambien before debates?