Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
rules_primaryIf Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitleLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva
tickerKXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-LSIL
titleWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?