Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Michelle Bolsonaro is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
opens
Jul 7 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 3, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Oct 3, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
29d ago
1¢
99¢
50
no
29d ago
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-10-03T14:00:00Z
created_time2026-07-07T22:08:53.138248Z
custom_strike1
1¢
99¢
500
no
29d ago
2¢
98¢
5
no
2mo ago
6¢
94¢
5
yes
2mo ago
6¢
94¢
32
yes
2mo ago
7¢
93¢
47
yes
2mo ago
7¢
93¢
55
yes
Nominee
Michelle Bolsonaro
event_tickerKXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-10-03T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-10-03T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0100
latest_expiration_time2028-10-03T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars1.0000
no_bid_dollars0.9600
no_sub_titleMichelle Bolsonaro
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2026-10-04T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp1092.05
open_time2026-07-07T23:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0100
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0400
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0000
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Michelle Bolsonaro is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryIf a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXBRPRESADVANCE-26OCT04-MBOL
titleWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?