Yes bid / ask
9¢ / 13¢
spread 4¢
24h volume
0
15.6k lifetime
Open interest
4,795
top of book 151 × 100
Closes
in 1mo
Nov 1 · 4:59 AM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- opens
- Aug 10 · 11:45 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- expires
- Nov 1 · 3:00 PM UTC
- category
- Science and Technology
- event
- independent outcomes
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|
| 5d ago | 12¢ | 88¢ | 6.66 |
Other markets in When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
Opus 6
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2026-11-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2026-08-10T23:43:37.991099Z
custom_strike1
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
- ask9478¢
- ask5268¢
- ask11163¢
- ask1,77662¢
- ask64853¢
- ask2542¢
- ask1,90014¢
- ask10013¢
spread4¢mid 11¢
- bid1519¢
- bid1,0448¢
- bid1,0996¢
- bid5955¢
- bid2504¢
- bid3333¢
- bid4012¢
- bid1721¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Before Sep 16, 2026
KXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26SEP16
date
before November 1, 2026
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
event_tickerKXCLAUDE-OPUS6
expected_expiration_time2026-11-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2026-11-08T15:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2026-11-08T15:00:00Z
no_sub_titleBefore Nov 1, 2026
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2026-09-01T13:00:00Z
open_time2026-08-10T23:45:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.1200
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.1300
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0900
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
rules_primaryIf Anthropic releases Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryRelease must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
tickerKXCLAUDE-OPUS6-26NOV01
titleWill Anthropic release Opus 6 before Nov 1, 2026?
updated_time2026-09-02T00:08:13.178017Z
yes_sub_titleBefore Nov 1, 2026