Yes bid / ask
25¢ / 28¢
spread 3¢
24h volume
0
28.9k lifetime
Open interest
12.5k
top of book 18 × 500
Closes
in 282mo
Jan 1, 2050 · 4:59 AM UTC
YES price Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
20¢ 25¢ 30¢ 35¢ vol Oct 29 Nov 5 Order book Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Resolution rules Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people residing on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Raw payload Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON market 39 can_close_early true
close_time 2050-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time 2025-06-27T16:35:35.36594Z
early_close_condition This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
ask 28 58¢
ask 200 50¢
ask 65 50¢
ask 100 40¢
ask 305 28¢
ask 500 28¢ bid 18 25¢ bid 1.7 25¢ bid 0.92 21¢ bid 93 21¢ bid 53 21¢ bid 500 20¢ bid 74 20¢ bid 452 18¢ opens Jun 27, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC closes Jan 1, 2050 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early expires Jan 1, 2050 · 3:00 PM UTC category Science and Technology event independent outcomes Recent trades Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time Yes No Size Taker 5d ago 25¢ 75¢ 6.56 no 9d ago 25¢ 75¢ 22 no 9d ago 25¢ 75¢ 4 no 10d ago 28¢ 72¢ 1.7 yes 10d ago 28¢ 72¢ 32 yes 10d ago 25¢ 75¢ 32 no 11d ago 25¢ 75¢ 257 no 12d ago 28¢ 72¢ 1 yes 16d ago 25¢ 75¢ 3.03 no 16d ago 27¢ 73¢ 5 no 16d ago 25¢ 75¢ 0.25 no 16d ago 26¢ 74¢ 5 no 16d ago 32¢ 68¢ 16 yes 16d ago 31¢ 69¢ 5 yes 16d ago 31¢ 69¢ 4.59 yes 16d ago 32¢ 68¢ 29 yes 16d ago 31¢ 69¢ 5 yes 16d ago 25¢ 75¢ 1 no 16d ago 26¢ 75¢ 0.05 no 16d ago 26¢ 74¢ 1 no 16d ago 25¢ 75¢ 12 no 17d ago 26¢ 74¢ 4.59 no 20d ago 27¢ 73¢ 5 yes 20d ago 28¢ 72¢ 335 yes 21d ago 28¢ 72¢ 1.67 yes
event_ticker
KXCOLONIZEMARS-50
expected_expiration_time 2050-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time 2050-01-08T15:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time 2050-01-08T15:00:00Z
notional_value_dollars 1.0000
open_time 2025-06-27T20:45:00Z
previous_price_dollars 0.2520
previous_yes_ask_dollars 0.2800
previous_yes_bid_dollars 0.2520
price_level_structure deci_cent
price_ranges 1 [0] 3 end 1.0000
start 0.0000
step 0.0010
rules_primary If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people residing on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
settlement_bounds_type default
settlement_timer_seconds 1800
title Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
updated_time 2026-10-25T18:19:12.072882Z