Yes bid / ask
24¢ / 30¢
spread 6¢
24h volume
0
35.0k lifetime
Open interest
11.0k
top of book 54 × 8.7
Closes
in 283mo
Jan 1, 2050 · 4:59 AM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opens
- Jul 18, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2050 · 4:59 AM UTC
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market39
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2050-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2025-07-18T11:56:20.793402Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Yes
- ask1475¢
- ask3275¢
- ask22875¢
- ask3.0461¢
- ask161¢
- ask3033¢
- ask8231¢
- ask8.730¢
- bid5424¢
- bid25523¢
- bid10023¢
- bid7622¢
- bid1422¢
- bid10022¢
- bid20019¢
- bid10018¢
· may close early
expiresJan 1, 2050 · 3:00 PM UTCcategoryClimate and Weathereventindependent outcomesRecent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|
| 2d ago | 29¢ | 71¢ | 1 | yes |
| 3d ago | 24¢ | 76¢ | 1 | no |
| 4d ago | 25¢ | 75¢ | 3.7 | no |
| 5d ago | 31¢ | 70¢ | 22 | yes |
| 5d ago | 31¢ | 69¢ | 18 | yes |
| 6d ago | 22¢ | 78¢ | 64 | no |
| 6d ago | 23¢ | 78¢ | 3.03 | no |
| 6d ago | 23¢ | 78¢ | 33 | no |
| 9d ago | 23¢ | 77¢ | 24 | no |
| 9d ago | 23¢ | 78¢ | 22 | no |
| 12d ago | 22¢ | 78¢ | 3.4 | no |
| 13d ago | 24¢ | 76¢ | 13 | yes |
| 13d ago | 23¢ | 77¢ | 0.46 | yes |
| 13d ago | 24¢ | 76¢ | 65 | yes |
| 13d ago | 23¢ | 77¢ | 40 | no |
| 14d ago | 28¢ | 72¢ | 1.77 | no |
| 14d ago | 28¢ | 72¢ | 20 | yes |
| 14d ago | 28¢ | 72¢ | 0.6 | yes |
| 15d ago | 28¢ | 72¢ | 1 | no |
| 15d ago | 30¢ | 70¢ | 1 | yes |
| 17d ago | 28¢ | 72¢ | 1 | no |
| 17d ago | 28¢ | 72¢ | 2 | no |
| 17d ago | 30¢ | 70¢ | 14 | yes |
| 22d ago | 23¢ | 77¢ | 25 | no |
| 23d ago | 30¢ | 70¢ | 0.58 | yes |
event_ticker
KXERUPTSUPER-0
expected_expiration_time2050-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2050-01-08T15:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2050-01-08T15:00:00Z
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2050
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_time2025-07-18T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.2890
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2900
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.2400
price_level_structuredeci_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0010
rules_primaryIf a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
tickerKXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
titleWhen will a supervolcano next erupt?
updated_time2026-04-09T09:31:34.36679Z
yes_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2050