Yes bid / ask
26¢ / 36¢
spread 10¢
24h volume
0
35.4k lifetime
Open interest
10.8k
top of book 138 × 130
Closes
in 282mo
Jan 1, 2050 · 4:59 AM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opens
- Jul 18, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2050 · 4:59 AM UTC
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market39
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2050-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2025-07-18T11:56:20.793402Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Size
Yes
- ask2575¢
- ask41374¢
- ask2974¢
- ask3.0461¢
- ask5245¢
- ask4339¢
- ask5038¢
- ask13036¢
- bid13826¢
- bid4.6525¢
- bid7025¢
- bid3924¢
- bid2919¢
- bid5119¢
- bid3419¢
- bid20019¢
· may close early
expiresJan 1, 2050 · 3:00 PM UTCcategoryClimate and Weathereventindependent outcomesRecent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|
| 3d ago | 26¢ | 74¢ | 1.32 | no |
| 3d ago | 26¢ | 74¢ | 1.32 | no |
| 4d ago | 26¢ | 74¢ | 2.15 | no |
| 8d ago | 26¢ | 74¢ | 2.63 | no |
| 8d ago | 38¢ | 62¢ | 2.63 | yes |
| 11d ago | 26¢ | 74¢ | 2.65 | no |
| 17d ago | 26¢ | 74¢ | 37 | no |
| 17d ago | 26¢ | 74¢ | 6.62 | no |
| 17d ago | 28¢ | 72¢ | 1 | no |
| 17d ago | 27¢ | 73¢ | 1 | no |
| 23d ago | 37¢ | 63¢ | 1 | yes |
| 23d ago | 39¢ | 61¢ | 24 | yes |
| 23d ago | 39¢ | 61¢ | 7 | yes |
| 23d ago | 38¢ | 62¢ | 1 | yes |
| 23d ago | 38¢ | 62¢ | 10 | yes |
| 24d ago | 27¢ | 73¢ | 1.3 | no |
| 24d ago | 26¢ | 74¢ | 68 | no |
| 24d ago | 27¢ | 73¢ | 10 | no |
| 26d ago | 26¢ | 74¢ | 24 | no |
| 27d ago | 25¢ | 75¢ | 0.21 | no |
| 27d ago | 32¢ | 68¢ | 1 | yes |
| 27d ago | 25¢ | 75¢ | 1 | no |
| 1mo ago | 26¢ | 74¢ | 2.55 | no |
| 1mo ago | 25¢ | 75¢ | 0.54 | no |
| 1mo ago | 31¢ | 69¢ | 2.55 | yes |
event_ticker
KXERUPTSUPER-0
expected_expiration_time2050-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2050-01-08T15:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2050-01-08T15:00:00Z
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2050
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_time2025-07-18T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.2600
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.3600
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.2600
price_level_structuredeci_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0010
rules_primaryIf a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
settlement_bounds_typedefault
settlement_timer_seconds1800
tickerKXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
titleWhen will a supervolcano next erupt?
updated_time2026-04-09T09:31:34.36679Z
yes_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2050