Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If CDU/CSU wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option
This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.
event_tickerKXGERELECTION-29MAR25
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.1500
latest_expiration_time2030-03-25T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9100
no_bid_dollars0.8500
no_sub_titleCDU/CSU
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2029-03-25T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp481.13
open_time2026-07-28T16:23:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.1500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.4700
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0900
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf CDU/CSU wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option
This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitle:: The Union
tickerKXGERELECTION-29MAR25-UNI
titleWill CDU/CSU win the next election to the German Bundestag?