Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $1 billion and $9 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An "Acquisition of Greenland" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the "$0 / No Acquisition" bracket and No for all other brackets.
This market will close and expire early if an Acquisition of Greenland occurs with a reported Total Monetary Consideration.
event_tickerKXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-01-22T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-02-21T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike1
last_price_dollars0.0390
latest_expiration_time2029-02-21T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9960
no_bid_dollars0.9640
no_sub_title$1 billion to $9 billion
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp54787.02
open_time2026-01-17T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0280
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0280
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0040
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the Total Monetary Consideration for a U.S. Acquisition of Greenland is between $1 billion and $9 billion during Trump's term, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe Total Monetary Consideration includes cash payments, Treasury securities, direct payments to residents, recurring economic assistance (calculated as 50 times the annual amount if the term exceeds 50 years), infrastructure commitments, assumed debt, and other quantified financial commitments. It excludes the imputed value of military protection, non-quantified promises, the value of citizenship or visa-free travel, and the estimated value of natural resources or strategic positioning. Values are rounded to the nearest $1 billion USD. An "Acquisition of Greenland" requires a treaty transferring sovereignty, Senate ratification, formal White House announcement of territorial status, or a Compact of Free Association with exclusive military access. It does not include expanded base rights, trade agreements, or military occupation without a formal agreement. If no acquisition occurs in the time period, markets resolve to Yes for the "$0 / No Acquisition" bracket and No for all other brackets.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typebetween
subtitle$1 billion to $9 billion
tickerKXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-5B
titleWill the U.S. pay between $1 billion and $9 billion for Greenland during Trump's term?