Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
This market concerns the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, including a government formed after repeat elections. A new government is formed when the Knesset expresses confidence in it. A retained incumbent counts if appointed in that new government; continuation in the outgoing government does not.
Minister of Defense means the holder of the Defense portfolio, including a Prime Minister who also formally holds it. An acting substitute, deputy minister, additional minister within the Defense Ministry, or Minister of National Security does not count. If the portfolio is initially vacant, the first person subsequently appointed to it in that government counts. Nominations, coalition agreements, intended appointments, and hypothetical scenarios do not qualify as taking office. Later replacements do not change the first officeholder.
opens
Aug 28 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 28, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Nov 4, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2030-10-28T03:59:00Z
created_time2026-08-28T18:47:05.623569Z
custom_strike1
Yes
No
Size
Taker
10d ago
78¢
22¢
4.05
yes
10d ago
15¢
85¢
200
yes
10d ago
89¢
11¢
9.74
yes
10d ago
10¢
90¢
200
yes
Topic
Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
event_tickerKXISRDEFMIN-30
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2030-11-04T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2030-11-04T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.7800
latest_expiration_time2030-11-04T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8900
no_bid_dollars0.7900
no_sub_titleNaftali Bennett
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2027-03-08T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp413.79
open_time2026-08-28T22:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.7800
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2100
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1100
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryOnly reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
This market concerns the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, including a government formed after repeat elections. A new government is formed when the Knesset expresses confidence in it. A retained incumbent counts if appointed in that new government; continuation in the outgoing government does not.
Minister of Defense means the holder of the Defense portfolio, including a Prime Minister who also formally holds it. An acting substitute, deputy minister, additional minister within the Defense Ministry, or Minister of National Security does not count. If the portfolio is initially vacant, the first person subsequently appointed to it in that government counts. Nominations, coalition agreements, intended appointments, and hypothetical scenarios do not qualify as taking office. Later replacements do not change the first officeholder.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXISRDEFMIN-30-NBEN
titleWill it be reported by The Times of Israel that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?