Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Zohran Mamdani has announced that he will run for mayor of New York City in 2029 before Apr 6, 2029, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.
ask
1.24
91¢
ask2589¢
ask10086¢
ask1685¢
spread18¢mid 76¢
bid567¢
bid10066¢
bid9.6760¢
bid18124¢
bid1922¢
bid374¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Size
Taker
13h ago
81¢
19¢
13
yes
13h ago
67¢
33¢
3.91
no
13h ago
67¢
33¢
1
no
13h ago
66¢
34¢
8.09
no
15h ago
67¢
33¢
0.76
no
15h ago
68¢
32¢
1.21
no
15h ago
69¢
31¢
0.03
no
21h ago
62¢
38¢
4
no
2d ago
86¢
14¢
3
yes
3d ago
89¢
11¢
0.27
yes
3d ago
88¢
12¢
0.11
yes
3d ago
88¢
12¢
1.12
yes
4d ago
82¢
18¢
7.72
yes
4d ago
82¢
18¢
5
yes
4d ago
81¢
19¢
1.21
yes
4d ago
81¢
19¢
71
yes
4d ago
81¢
19¢
1
yes
4d ago
75¢
25¢
10
no
4d ago
76¢
24¢
4
no
4d ago
76¢
24¢
5
no
4d ago
81¢
19¢
4
yes
4d ago
81¢
19¢
12
yes
5d ago
81¢
19¢
2.24
yes
5d ago
81¢
19¢
2.76
yes
5d ago
81¢
19¢
1
yes
event_ticker
KXMAMDANIRUN-29
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-04-06T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-04-06T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.8100
latest_expiration_time2029-04-06T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.3300
no_bid_dollars0.1500
no_sub_titleYes
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2029-04-06T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp789.44
open_time2026-07-10T18:41:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.8600
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.8900
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.6200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Zohran Mamdani has announced that he will run for mayor of New York City in 2029 before Apr 6, 2029, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
subtitleYes
tickerKXMAMDANIRUN-29-29APR06
titleWill Zohran Mamdani announce a run for mayor of New York City in 2029?