Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Russia is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.
opens
Nov 28, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market39
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z
created_time2024-11-27T23:38:20.96904Z
early_close_conditionThe market will close if a country launches a manned Moon mission.
ask
2.19
4¢
ask13¢
ask892¢
ask1,1132¢
spread2¢mid 1¢
bid500¢
bid25.0k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
event_ticker
KXMOONMAN-31
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0190
latest_expiration_time2031-01-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9980
no_bid_dollars0.9810
no_sub_titleRussia
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp5790.51
open_time2024-11-28T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0190
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0190
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0020
price_level_structuredeci_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf Russia is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryIf Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXMOONMAN-31-R
titleWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?