Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Yossi Cohen, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.
opens
Oct 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
1d ago
0¢
100¢
6
no
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
created_time2025-10-23T23:33:18.736669Z
custom_strike1
ask
200
5¢
ask14¢
ask492¢
ask7982¢
spread2¢mid 1¢
bid9940¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Individual
Yossi Cohen
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a new Prime Minister takes office.
event_tickerKXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0010
latest_expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9990
no_bid_dollars0.9810
no_sub_titleYossi Cohen
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp1420.13
open_time2025-10-24T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0010
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0190
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0010
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Yossi Cohen, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitle::
tickerKXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-YCOH
titleWill Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?