Yes bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
spread 1¢
24h volume
72
224.2k lifetime
Open interest
57.9k
top of book 101 × 125
Closes
in 160mo
Jan 1, 2040 · 4:59 AM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Not enough history to chart.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
spread1¢mid 98¢
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opens
- Aug 6, 2025 · 11:30 PM UTC
- closes
Other markets in Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Before 2040
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2040-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2025-08-06T22:58:15.748722Z
custom_strike1
bid
33
95¢
bid5394¢bid1493¢bid70092¢bid79490¢bid1,18979¢bid20066¢Jan 1, 2040 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close earlyexpiresJan 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTCcategoryFinancialseventindependent outcomesRecent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Company
Anthropic
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
expected_expiration_time2040-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2040-01-08T15:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2040-01-08T15:00:00Z
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_time2025-08-06T23:30:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.9400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9900
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.9400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
rules_primaryIf Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
settlement_bounds_typedefault
settlement_timer_seconds1800
titleWill Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
updated_time2026-10-26T19:04:08.165742Z