Yes bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
spread 1¢
24h volume
72
224.2k lifetime
Open interest
57.9k
top of book 101 × 125
Closes
in 160mo
Jan 1, 2040 · 4:59 AM UTC
YES price
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Resolution rules
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opens
- Aug 6, 2025 · 11:30 PM UTC
- closes
Other markets in Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Before 2040
Event pageRaw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2040-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2025-08-06T22:58:15.748722Z
custom_strike1
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
spread1¢mid 98¢
- bid10197¢
- bid3395¢
- bid5394¢
- bid1493¢
- bid70092¢
- bid79490¢
- bid1,18979¢
- bid20066¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Jan 1, 2040 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close earlyexpiresJan 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTCcategoryFinancialseventindependent outcomesRecent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
Company
Anthropic
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
expected_expiration_time2040-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2040-01-08T15:00:00Z
latest_expiration_time2040-01-08T15:00:00Z
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_time2025-08-06T23:30:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.9400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9900
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.9400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
rules_primaryIf Anthropic confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
settlement_bounds_typedefault
settlement_timer_seconds1800
titleWill Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
updated_time2026-10-26T19:04:08.165742Z