Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Supreme Court, in Younge v. Fulton Judicial Circuit District Attorney’s Office, rules a defendant may not assert an affirmative defense omitted from its answer as the basis for summary judgment without amending or seeking to amend the answer, including when Rule 16(b)(4) would bar amendment, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in Younge v. Fulton Judicial Circuit District Attorney’s Office, that a defendant whose answer omitted an affirmative defense may not assert that defense as the basis for summary judgment without amending or seeking to amend the answer, including where Rule 16(b)(4) would bar the amendment, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that a defendant may rely on an unpled affirmative defense at summary judgment without amending or seeking to amend its answer, whether categorically or under a case-specific standard. If the case is dismissed, found to have been improvidently granted, or otherwise disposed of without a merits ruling on the Question Presented, or remanded without resolving that question, the market resolves to No.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
ask
13
85¢
ask18082¢
ask4681¢
ask20063¢
ask1062¢
spread7¢mid 59¢
bid555¢
bid20053¢
bid24918¢
bid37817¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
11h ago
80¢
20¢
150
yes
11h ago
60¢
40¢
5.07
yes
11h ago
61¢
39¢
200
yes
4d ago
59¢
41¢
4.93
yes
2mo ago
56¢
44¢
200
no
2mo ago
57¢
43¢
5
no
2mo ago
58¢
42¢
100
no
2mo ago
63¢
37¢
5
no
2mo ago
62¢
38¢
200
no
2mo ago
66¢
34¢
200
yes
event_ticker
KXSCOTUSCASE-YOUFUL28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.8000
latest_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.4500
no_bid_dollars0.3800
no_sub_titleBefore Aug 1, 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp659.82
open_time2026-07-24T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.5900
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.5900
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.5100
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Supreme Court, in Younge v. Fulton Judicial Circuit District Attorney’s Office, rules a defendant may not assert an affirmative defense omitted from its answer as the basis for summary judgment without amending or seeking to amend the answer, including when Rule 16(b)(4) would bar amendment, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in Younge v. Fulton Judicial Circuit District Attorney’s Office, that a defendant whose answer omitted an affirmative defense may not assert that defense as the basis for summary judgment without amending or seeking to amend the answer, including where Rule 16(b)(4) would bar the amendment, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that a defendant may rely on an unpled affirmative defense at summary judgment without amending or seeking to amend its answer, whether categorically or under a case-specific standard. If the case is dismissed, found to have been improvidently granted, or otherwise disposed of without a merits ruling on the Question Presented, or remanded without resolving that question, the market resolves to No.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXSCOTUSCASE-YOUFUL28
titleWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Dr. Jasmine Younge in Younge v. Fulton Judicial Circuit District Attorney’s Office