Will the Republican party win the House in 2028?
YES means Republican party
- 24h volume
- 17
- 7,158 lifetime
- Open interest
- 3,186
- +164 over 7d
- Spread
- 3¢
- 76 × 505 at the touch
- 24h range
- 23¢ – 30¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 29¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 74¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Republican party has won control of the House in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2029.
- opened
- May 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- CONTROLH-2028-R
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13h ago | 28¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 13h ago | 29¢ | 6.73 | bought yes |
| 13h ago | 28¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 29¢ | 16 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 28¢ | 600 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 26¢ | 34 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 25¢ | 86 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 27¢ | 1.95 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 25¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 26¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 24¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 23¢ | 88 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 26¢ | 79 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 27¢ | 6 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 27¢ | 5 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.