Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?
YES means Republican by 31 to 60
- 24h volume
- 0
- 13 lifetime
- Open interest
- 13
- +1 over 90d
- Spread
- 9¢
- 224 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 1 recent trades
A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 98¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask13198¢
- ask26857¢
- ask20011¢
- bid2242¢
- bid3001¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- May 15 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- May 6, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 31
- cap
- 60
- ticker
- ECMOV-28NOV07-REP31T60
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 70¢).
- Democratic by 91 to 13014¢
- Democratic by 61 to 9012¢
- Democratic by 31 to 6011¢
- Democratic by 11 to 306¢
- Democratic by 131 to 2104¢
- Republican by 1 to 104¢
- Republican by 11 to 304¢
- Republican by 61 to 904¢
- Democratic by 1 to 103¢
- Republican by 91 to 1303¢
- Democratic by 211 or more1¢
- Republican by 131 to 2101¢
- and 1 more
Recent trades
Over the last 1 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | 2¢ | 1 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.