EV market share·closes in 44mo

EV market share in 2030?

YES means Above 20%

24h volume: 4.57; 11.6k lifetime
Open interest: 3,834; −1.45 over 7d
Spread: 4¢; 10 × 505 at the touch
24h range: 59¢ – 66¢

Chance of YES

59%−1

A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

41%

costs 38¢

YES bid / ask

62¢ / 66¢

NO bid / ask

34¢ / 38¢

24h low 59¢24h high 66¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1.5480¢
ask1079¢
ask4.5675¢
ask10074¢
ask9473¢
ask1072¢
ask1.167¢
ask50566¢

spread4¢mid 64¢

bid1062¢
bid1.7661¢
bid6.8859¢
bid53958¢
bid20056¢
bid1653¢
bid2,35050¢
bid125¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 20% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

Argonne National Laboratory

opened: Apr 12, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC
closes: May 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor: 20
ticker: EVSHARE-30JAN-20

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.