galdor.xyz
Admin
EV market share·closes in 44mo

EV market share in 2030?

YES means Above 20%

24h volume
4.57
11.6k lifetime
Open interest
3,834
Spread
4¢
10 × 505 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%−1

A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 38¢

YES bid / ask
62¢ / 66¢
NO bid / ask
34¢ / 38¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1.5480¢
  • ask1079¢
  • ask4.5675¢
  • ask10074¢
  • ask9473¢
  • ask1072¢
  • ask1.167¢
  • ask50566¢
spread4¢mid 64¢
  • bid1062¢
  • bid1.7661¢
  • bid6.8859¢
  • bid53958¢
  • bid20056¢
  • bid1653¢
  • bid2,35050¢
  • bid125¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 20% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 12, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC
closes
May 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
20
ticker
EVSHARE-30JAN-20
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23h ago59¢3.12bought no
23h ago60¢1.45bought no
2d ago60¢1.1bought no
2d ago66¢1.1bought yes
7d ago59¢3bought no
7d ago59¢10bought no
8d ago60¢0.55bought no
9d ago66¢0.4bought yes
9d ago65¢0.15bought yes
10d ago62¢0.15bought no
11d ago66¢1.47bought yes
11d ago66¢28bought yes
11d ago66¢1bought yes
13d ago65¢13bought yes
13d ago66¢1.53bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.