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Missouri Governor·closes in 38mo

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Missouri

YES means Democratic

24h volume
0
639 lifetime
Open interest
153
+0 over 24h
Spread
6¢
2,500 × 26 at the touch
24h range
–
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 98¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 20, 9:28 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3899¢
  • ask5599¢
  • ask50069¢
  • ask2,31867¢
  • ask1234¢
  • ask121¢
  • ask2,5009¢
  • ask268¢
spread6¢mid 5¢
  • bid2,5003¢
  • bid502¢
  • bid2000¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Missouri pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 13, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
GOVPARTYMO-28-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago8¢59bought yes
2mo ago6¢7bought no
2mo ago6¢5bought no
2mo ago6¢5bought no
2mo ago6¢5bought no
2mo ago6¢5bought no
2mo ago6¢5bought no
2mo ago6¢5bought no
2mo ago6¢5bought no
2mo ago6¢5bought no
2mo ago6¢5bought no
2mo ago6¢5bought no
2mo ago7¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.