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North Carolina·closes in 38mo

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in North Carolina

YES means Democratic

24h volume
0
2,790 lifetime
Open interest
624
−10 over 30d
Spread
4¢
2,500 × 100 at the touch
24h range
63¢ – 69¢
30 recent trades
Chance of YES
67%

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
33%

costs 37¢

YES bid / ask
63¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 37¢
24h low 63¢24h high 69¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7299¢
  • ask1596¢
  • ask0.8192¢
  • ask20091¢
  • ask1,64991¢
  • ask2,50070¢
  • ask0.2568¢
  • ask10067¢
spread4¢mid 65¢
  • bid2,50063¢
  • bid2008¢
  • bid5,0468¢
  • bid1,0003¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of North Carolina pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
GOVPARTYNC-28-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 30 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago67¢1bought yes
2d ago67¢0.01bought yes
2d ago67¢14bought yes
4d ago63¢1bought no
5d ago64¢0.29bought no
5d ago63¢8.33bought no
7d ago67¢1bought yes
13d ago69¢1bought yes
17d ago64¢1.38bought no
22d ago68¢1bought yes
27d ago68¢28bought yes
28d ago68¢1bought yes
1mo ago69¢1bought yes
1mo ago70¢26bought yes
1mo ago65¢26bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.