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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Cory Booker

24h volume
12
17.7k lifetime
Open interest
15.0k
−97 over 7d
Spread
1¢
35 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
79¢ – 83¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
80%

A YES contract costs 80¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
20%

costs 21¢

YES bid / ask
79¢ / 80¢
NO bid / ask
20¢ / 21¢
24h low 79¢24h high 83¢
Recent buying63% YES · 37% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,07795¢
  • ask4695¢
  • ask7495¢
  • ask12895¢
  • ask17595¢
  • ask490¢
  • ask5989¢
  • ask1,00080¢
spread1¢mid 80¢
  • bid3579¢
  • bid2578¢
  • bid2475¢
  • bid5874¢
  • bid2573¢
  • bid12072¢
  • bid1,00071¢
  • bid23360¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 31, 2025 · 9:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-CBOOK
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago80¢5.04bought yes
5h ago80¢2bought yes
15h ago79¢5bought no
2d ago80¢5bought yes
5d ago81¢15bought no
5d ago81¢5bought no
5d ago80¢72bought no
6d ago83¢0.11bought yes
7d ago83¢5.95bought yes
8d ago89¢0.01bought yes
8d ago78¢1.51bought yes
8d ago78¢15bought yes
8d ago78¢10bought yes
8d ago79¢999bought yes
8d ago78¢8.31bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.