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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Jon Ossoff

24h volume
33
28.0k lifetime
Open interest
17.2k
+3,339 over 7d
Spread
1¢
25 × 967 at the touch
24h range
71¢ – 71¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
71%−3

A YES contract costs 71¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
29%

costs 30¢

YES bid / ask
70¢ / 71¢
NO bid / ask
29¢ / 30¢
24h low 71¢24h high 71¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
65¢70¢75¢80¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1080¢
  • ask13279¢
  • ask1,00076¢
  • ask8375¢
  • ask3474¢
  • ask10073¢
  • ask1472¢
  • ask96771¢
spread1¢mid 71¢
  • bid2570¢
  • bid2868¢
  • bid1,88667¢
  • bid6265¢
  • bid27964¢
  • bid38963¢
  • bid25562¢
  • bid161¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Ossoff announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 1, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-JOSS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17h ago71¢7.91bought no
17h ago71¢25bought no
1d ago74¢0.02bought yes
1d ago69¢1,000bought yes
1d ago69¢2,110bought yes
2d ago69¢112bought yes
2d ago68¢5.14bought yes
3d ago68¢1.43bought yes
4d ago68¢1bought no
4d ago68¢0.6bought no
4d ago70¢14bought yes
4d ago70¢14bought yes
5d ago70¢3bought yes
5d ago70¢197bought yes
5d ago68¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.